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Bears should beware; if they are right, they may get more than they bargained for - Keith Grindlay, Macro Thoughts.

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 KEITH GRINDLAY, Global Macro Strategist, Senior Fund Manager US AM, Head of Fixed Income & Forex Derivatives Teams, G10 & EM

 Friday, March 23, 2018

If Fed Funds were at 2.5%, with average wage growth of 2.5%, then CPI at 2.5% would be a recipe for recession, and if the assumption of CPI is wrong and the Fed raises rates to 2.5% with inflation and demand slowing, the consequences could be even more dangerous.


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