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KTA FXCompass Weekly Wrap 29/09/17

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 Louise Griffin, Relationship Development Manager at Knightsbridge Trading Academy

 Friday, September 29, 2017

USD is set for the strongest week for the year helped by Fed Chair Janet Yellen hawkish comments on Tuesday. The dollar was also buoyant on improved prospects for tax reform but this means that there is also scope for greater disappointment if Trump Administration fails to deliver soon. Elsewhere; the Riksbank decision to extend Ingves term by 5-years has led to a sharp SEK sell-off making the Scandinavian currency the worst performer for the week. AUD, CAD and NZD also had a bad week but all due to their idiosyncratic reasons. AUD was down on weak iron ore price, NZD was weak due to uncertainty stemming from election results while CAD fell due to poor GDP data and dovish comments from Governor Poloz. JPY had a relatively flat week after the sharp drop last week; with Japan election looming around and still some uncertainty stemming from the US data and tax reforms we may well see some choppy moves in safe haven currencies over the coming week. Looking ahead, the economic calendar from the Euro-area is fairly light with the ECB minutes next Thursday the only talking point. For GBP, the UK manufacturing and services PMI may dictate short-term direction but any moves are likely to be limited. In the oceanic currencies, AUD is likely to be more active than NZD as RBA will hold its policy meeting on Tuesday and retail sales will be due on Thursday. In the Scandies, the Norwegian and Swedish manufacturing PMIs along with Riskbank reinstituted Governor Ingves speech will the key events next week. The US non-farm payrolls will be the top release next week but the schedule for Fed speakers will also be busy with Yellen, Harker, William, Kaplan, Dudley and Bullard all due next week.


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