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Regression Channels

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 Marko Rantala, Indicator & Strategy Developer. Algorithmic trader. Founder & CXX seeking new partnerships ? pvoodoo.com

 Monday, October 9, 2017

Anyone using regression channels at their trading? (manual or systematic) as I haven't got lot of interest to my old indicator, which draws higher level regression channels. I think that there would be some potential with those higher order (like 2 or 3) polynomial fit regression channels and predict coming bars? http://pvoodoo.blogspot.com/2015/09/extraregression-indicator.html?view=flipcard


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8 comments on article "Regression Channels"

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 Jeff Mayem, Managing Director, 5LIG5

 Tuesday, October 10, 2017



https://twitter.com/SurfingTheMrkts/status/917570064584339456


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 Shayne Laitila, Founder of Quantix Solutions LLC

 Thursday, October 12, 2017



How do you define trade logic based on something that repaints?


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 Marko Rantala, Indicator & Strategy Developer. Algorithmic trader. Founder & CXX seeking new partnerships ► pvoodoo.com

 Friday, October 13, 2017



Shayne, You can use this like as a standard regression channel to show the trend or expected direction of the future bars at least with discretionary trading (not guaranteed, snapshot of the current situation always on the chart) But if we really talk about backpainting/repainting indicators, I use those backpainting indicators at Machine Learning to teach correct turn points and so on so at output side (not as features but expected output values, which are not available at real time but can be utilized this way later) Example: https://pvoodoo.blogspot.com/search/label/ML


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 George Raicevich, Senior Staff Engineer - Electro Acoustics at Dolby Laboratories

 Saturday, October 14, 2017



Marko

I have tested polynomial regression lines in the past. From 1st order (straight line) and up to 8th order. The most sensible results coming from between 1st order to 3rd order. For me, not useful. I found they were excellent predictors until a turning point occurred (an exogenous input to the current direction of the share/ETF etc). Any polynomial fit would then act like a snake trying to play catch up with the new direction. No useful information is added by the poly. It's like driving a car and watching the road ahead by looking in the rear view mirror. You only see what just happened not what is about to happen.

A useful exercise is to walk forward a share price overlaid with the poly of choice. What you witness is a snake twisting and turning at the hard right edge of the graph, trying to keep up when a turning point appears.

George


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 private private,

 Saturday, October 14, 2017



any indicator that repaints can only be of limited use - following price action is the best way to trade both breakouts and trends

https://twitter.com/garybogdani/status/915614928089776129

Gary Bogdani


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 Diane Tycangco, Top Equity Analyst & Trader

 Monday, October 23, 2017



What does repaint mean?


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 Marko Rantala, Indicator & Strategy Developer. Algorithmic trader. Founder & CXX seeking new partnerships ► pvoodoo.com

 Monday, October 23, 2017



Hi Diane, repainting indicators redraw historical values again after new data (at every bar or every tick) but actually this gave me a new idea for just this indicator, Thanks. I'll add sort of momentum indication to this which is calculated based to predicted bar directions and add that to this as a value which is not repainting and could be utilized at automated strategies and is easy to backtest.


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 John Devron, Computer Software Professional

 Friday, October 27, 2017



@Diane - An indicator that repaints can make historical portions of a chart appear that the indicator worked swell when in reality the indicator performed poorly in real time usage. Since we can only trade in real time an indicator that repaints its historical view is of little value when viewing chart history because what you see on the chart never really happened.

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