Search
× Search
Saturday, April 20, 2024

Archived Discussions

Recent member discussions

The Algorithmic Traders' Association prides itself on providing a forum for the publication and dissemination of its members' white papers, research, reflections, works in progress, and other contributions. Please Note that archive searches and some of our members' publications are reserved for members only, so please log in or sign up to gain the most from our members' contributions.

Using live stats to trade Reversion to Mean

photo

 Justin Orwin, Founder ChartSmart Trading.

 Saturday, April 7, 2018

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M821-bziw1o Verified trading results for last couple of months below. Please excuse the outdated website however all attention has gone into building the live stats software. New website will be up and running from end April. https://www.facebook.com/chartsmartcapetown/ I take the approach that a combination of time spent away from an EMA (any ema), distance traveled away from the EMA and the current forward projected Rate of Change of the EMA can be cross referenced to the same calculation looking back over hundreds of thousands of bars of data to calculate probability based outlooks for optimum timing of probable mean reversion of price. Hope you find it interesting!


Print

5 comments on article "Using live stats to trade Reversion to Mean"

photo

 Donnie Reid, USMC,GCIA,CCSA, Senior Security Engineer 5 at Signature Consultants

 Monday, April 9, 2018



God bless the people that went long!


photo

 private private,

 Saturday, April 14, 2018



In a screenshot on your Twitter I can see "Probability % current position" of 245%, what does that label mean?


photo

 Justin Orwin, Founder ChartSmart Trading.

 Sunday, April 15, 2018



Hi Sultan, that is a manual input on the scanner which in this example may not have been used and is reflecting a number entered from a previous trade. This input allows you to target your own time for price to spend away from the ema and for the scanner to calculate probability off that. For example if the max bars away from the ema price has stayed away was 1000 bars but you would like to know the probability of your open position remaining profitable up to 1200 bars away, you could enter that number under this column in the scanner inputs and it would calculate the probability at current rate of change for you. Probably easier to discuss over Skype,let me now if you would like to catch up.


photo

 Gerardo Lemus, Quantitative Finance Practitioner:

Applying all available data to get an edge over the market.

 Monday, April 16, 2018



FYI -- I have some google colaboratory python notebooks to compute mean reversion statistics: https://www.markov.finance/single-post/2018/03/20/Educational-Series-Mean-Reversion https://www.markov.finance/single-post/2018/03/23/Educational-Series-Finding-Mean-Reversion

(and some more in https://www.markov.finance/blog )


photo

 Justin Orwin, Founder ChartSmart Trading.

 Monday, April 16, 2018



Thanks Gerardo...will check it out!

Please login or register to post comments.

TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS
Terms Of UsePrivacy StatementCopyright 2018 Algorithmic Traders Association